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EPC Elections Monitor
Italy’s snap election: What would a victory for the far right mean?

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Monday, 26 September 2022
 12:00 - 13:00


Manuela Caiani
Associate Professor in Political Science, Scuola Normale Superiore
Michele Barbero
Deputy Editor-in-Chief, AFPTV Live


Tommaso Grossi
Policy Analyst, European Policy Centre

Prime Minister Mario Draghi’s resignation in July, after the collapse of Italy’s national unity government, is just the latest in years of political unrest in the country. With a series of crises and (un)successful votes of confidence leading to another coalition breakdown, Italians are returning to the polls in September to elect a new parliament.

Amid the bitter political infighting and severe socio-economic consequences, the far-right Brothers of Italy looks set to gain the majority in the next coalition government. This party, which has neo-fascist roots, has gone from garnering a mere 4.4% of the vote in the 2018 general election to topping the polls at around 25% following Draghi’s resignation.

What are the likely implications of a populist, Eurosceptic government in Rome for the country and its relations with the EU? Will the new coalition manage to agree on how to deal with the pile of daunting problems, such as rising costs of living and uncontrollable inflation, the growing energy crisis, the lingering effects of COVID-19, and the war in Ukraine? How will the ‘Russian factor’ affect the parties’ campaigns and the election results? What are the lessons Italian progressives should draw from these developments?

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